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Table 1 DNAm-based prediction models for CVD, HF and Heart Age

From: DNA methylation in cardiovascular disease and heart failure: novel prediction models?

Research article(s)

Prediction model(s)

Cohort(s)

Main finding(s)

Meder et al. [46]

3-marker methylation panel for HF caused by DCM

Screening cohort: patients with DCM (n = 41) and clinical controls (n = 31). Heart and blood samples

Replication cohort I: Heart sample, patients with DCM (n = 18) and healthy controls (n = 8); Blood samples, patients with DCM (n = 9) and healthy controls (n = 28)

Replication cohort II: Blood samples, patients with DCM (n = 82) and healthy controls (n = 109)

The 3-marker methylation panel exhibits excellent diagnostic performance for DCM and outperforms the NT-proBNP

Westerman et al. [65]

CVD Risk CSL

Training cohorts: participants from WHI (n = 2023; CVD cases, n = 1009), FHS‐JHU (n = 484; CVD cases, n = 125), LBC (n = 818; CVD cases, n = 297), and FHS‐UM (n = 2103; CVD cases, n = 180)

Replication cohort: participants from REGICOR (n = 391; CVD cases, n = 191)

The CSL associates with CVD time‐to‐event, performs best in individuals with lower Framingham Risk Scores and predicts MI status

Cappozzo et al [66]

Composite biomarker predictive of CVD risk

Training cohort: participants from EPIC Italy (n = 1803)

Validation cohorts: participants from Understanding Society (n = 1174), TILDA (n = 490), EXPOsOMICS CVD (n = 315), GSE174818 (n = 127), HRS (n = 2146) and NICOLA (n = 1728)

The DNAmCVDscore shows high performance in predicting short-term CV events outperforming current state-of-the-art CVD prediction models based on traditional risk factors

Zhao et al

(2022) [71]

Composite HFmeRisk score

Training cohort: participants from FHS Offspring cohort (n = 797; HFpEF n = 59)

Testing cohort: participants from FHS Offspring cohort (n = 171; HFpEF n = 32)

The HFmeRisk score integrates both clinical and epigenetic features and outperforms models with clinical characteristics or DNAm alone, and published chronic HF risk prediction models

Tropiceanu et al [68]

DNAm Age scores

(AgeHannum, AgeHorvath, PhenoAge, and GrimAge) relation to CV risk factors

Study cohort: participants from MRC NSHD (n = 498)

By the age of 60, participants with accelerated DNAm have older, weaker, and more electrically impaired hearts

Mongelli et al [70]

Mongelli & Panunzi (M&P) cardiac and blood clocks

Study cohort: Patients undergoing cardiac surgery (n = 383; CABG, n = 289; AVR, n = 94)

Training cohort: n = 288

Testing cohort: n = 95

The M&P cardiac and blood clocks consist of 31 specific CpG sites and reveal similarity between chronological and biological age in the blood and heart

Chybowska et al [67]

Composite CVD EpiScore

Study cohort: participants from GS (n =  ≥ 12,657 CVD cases, ≥ 1274)

Training cohort: GS (n = 6880)

Testing cohort: GS (n = 3659)

The composite CVD EpiScore, based on 45 protein EpiScores, is a significant predictor of CVD risk independent of ASSIGN and cTnI concentration

Carbonneau et al [69]

DNAm Age scores

(DunedinPACE, PhenoAge, GrimAge, and DNAmTL)

relation to CV health, CVD and all-cause mortality

Study cohort: participants from FHS (n = 5682)

DNAm Age scores mediate the associations between the LE8 score and incident CVD, CVD‐specific mortality, and all‐cause mortality

  1. AVR, aortic valve replacement; CABG, coronary aortic bypass graft surgery; CSL, cross-study learner model; CVD, cardiovascular disease; DCM, dilated cardiomyopathy; EPIC, European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition; EXPOsOMICS CVD, case–control study nested in the EPIC Italy cohort; FHS, Framingham Heart Study; FHS‐JHU, Framingham Heart Study (Johns Hopkins University); FHS‐UM, Framingham Heart Study (University of Minnesota); GS, Generation Scotland; HF, Heart Failure; HRS, The Health and Retirement Study; LBC, Lothian Birth Cohorts 1936; MRC NSHD, the Medical Research Council National Survey of Health of Development; NICOLA, Northern Ireland Cohort for the Longitudinal Study of Ageing; REGICOR, Registre Gironí del COR; TILDA, The Irish longitudinal study on ageing; Understanding Society, The United Kingdom Household Panel Study; WHI, Women's Health Initiative